According to a recent survey, the Democratic Party is regaining traction among Latino voters as the November 3, 2026, midterm elections approach. This resurgence is largely fueled by dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's immigration policies and the worsening economy.
The poll, conducted by BSP Research and Shaw & Co. for the American Business Immigration Coalition (ABIC) and American Families United (AFU), surveyed 1,353 registered Latino voters across seven pivotal states: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas.
The findings reveal that Democratic congressional candidates are expected to secure between six and ten percentage points more of the Hispanic vote than Kamala Harris did in 2024, while Republicans could see a decline of around five points from Trump's performance among this demographic.
The Shifting Political Landscape in Key States
In Pennsylvania, the Democratic share of the Latino vote is projected to increase by 10 points, reaching 60%, whereas the Republican share is anticipated to drop by 11 points to 26%. In Georgia, Republicans are expected to maintain their 2024 level with 25% of the Latino vote, while Democrats are likely to gain three points, reaching 63%. Meanwhile, in Texas, Republicans might see a one-point drop as Democrats increase by three points.
Economic and Immigration Concerns
This shift is attributed to two major factors: the rising cost of living, exacerbated partly by the conflict in Iran and fuel prices, and the perception that immigration policies have gone too far. "Immigration is once again a central issue for Latinos. We believe this is significantly impacting Republicans in the current elections," said Matt Barreto, who oversaw the poll, in an interview with El País.
Many respondents express personal connections to undocumented individuals, with stories of family or community members being detained or deported. In fact, 63% of Latinos in key states cite the treatment of immigrants as "one of my main concerns" for 2026, and 59% support creating a pathway to legal status for undocumented individuals with U.S. citizen relatives.
Latino Voter Sentiment and Political Engagement
The trend crosses party lines, with 64% of Latino Republicans, 68% of independents, and 85% of Democrats stating they will support candidates who prioritize work permits over mass deportations. Nevertheless, the Latino vote remains unpredictable: while 39% hold an unfavorable view of Democrats in Congress, a significant 63% feel the same about Republicans.
In conjunction with the survey's release, over 200 Hispanic leaders launched the Unity Campaign of the Committee of 100, sending a letter to President Trump and Congressional leaders demanding work permits and legal protections for long-term undocumented immigrants. The letter garnered signatures from both Democrats—such as Representatives Delia Ramírez, Sylvia García, and Verónica Escobar—and Republicans, including Florida State Senator Ileana García, founder of Latinas for Trump.
Calls for Legislative Action
"Hispanic voters are fed up. We're losing our workforce due to these deportations. Since January, we've lost 200,000 immigrant workers every month. There is simply no way to sustain our economy without the long-standing immigrants who have enabled our prosperity," warned Massey Villarreal, co-chair of the Committee of 100, to the same outlet.
Organizations like LULAC, NALEO, UnidosUS, the National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference, and America's Voice have joined the initiative. Representative Sylvia García has advocated for the passage of the American Dream and Promise Act, which would create a pathway to legalization for DACA and Temporary Protected Status (TPS) recipients, programs rescinded by the Trump administration.
On November 3, all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governorships will be contested, with congressional control at stake and the Latino vote as a potentially decisive factor.
Key Questions on Latino Voter Influence in the 2026 Midterms
How are the Democrats gaining support from Latino voters?
The Democrats are regaining support from Latino voters due to dissatisfaction with the Trump administration's immigration policies and economic challenges faced by the Latino community.
What factors are influencing Latino voter sentiment?
Key factors include the rising cost of living, the impact of immigration policies, and personal connections to undocumented individuals affected by these policies.
What actions are being taken to address Latino voter concerns?
Hispanic leaders have launched initiatives like the Unity Campaign of the Committee of 100, advocating for work permits and legal protections for undocumented immigrants. Legislative efforts such as the American Dream and Promise Act are also being pushed forward.