A low-pressure system being monitored in the Atlantic has reached a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression over the next seven days, potentially forming in the latter part of this week.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in the United States raised this estimate in their advisory issued at 8:00 p.m. on Monday.
There is also an increased 30% chance of formation within the next 48 hours, though this remains classified as a low likelihood.
Located about 500 miles—around 805 kilometers—southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, the low-pressure area is currently generating a broad region of rain and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions might gradually become more conducive for its organization over the coming days.
The system is projected to move westward and then west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
This latest update marks another increase in a short span of time. Earlier, at 2:00 p.m. on Monday, the NHC reported a 60% chance of development over seven days and a 20% chance for the next 48 hours.
While the system currently travels in a general westward direction, there is no established path or confirmed threat to Cuba or the broader Caribbean region at this time.
Its potential strength and trajectory will be determined by how well it organizes in the coming days.
The NHC is also tracking a tropical wave located roughly 900 miles—approximately 1,448 kilometers—east of the Windward Islands. This disturbance is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and has a 10% chance of development, both in the next 48 hours and over seven days.
This wave is moving quickly westward, but conditions may become less favorable for its development as it approaches the Lesser Antilles by the end of the week.
A third system under observation is a trough of low pressure positioned several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda. It has a 10% chance of development in both time frames and is moving swiftly eastward.
As it enters cooler waters, any development potential is expected to diminish by Thursday.
Key Questions About Atlantic Weather Systems
What are the chances of the Atlantic low-pressure system becoming a tropical depression?
There is a 70% chance of the low-pressure system developing into a tropical depression within the next seven days, with a 30% chance in the next 48 hours.
Where is the low-pressure system currently located?
The low-pressure system is approximately 500 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.
What other weather systems is the NHC monitoring?
The NHC is also monitoring a tropical wave east of the Windward Islands and a trough of low pressure northeast of Bermuda.