A survey conducted by our editorial team reveals that a significant number of respondents anticipate the fall of the Cuban regime in 2026, amid the regional climate following U.S. military actions leading to the capture of Nicolás Maduro.
When asked, “In light of recent regional events, do you believe the Cuban regime could collapse in 2026?”, 62% answered affirmatively, expressing confidence that the regime would indeed fall that year.
Meanwhile, 22% of participants responded, “Yes, but not in 2026; it will take longer,” while 3% said, “No, the regime will not fall,” and 13% were unsure.
User comments are filled with both hope and skepticism. Some individuals expressed sentiments such as “It will definitely fall” and “God willing, it will happen soon,” while others argued that “this will only collapse” if the crisis worsens and the people take to the streets. They also noted that “no one is going to invade” and that any change would depend on internal actions.
Opinions cautioning that those expecting a rapid collapse “do not know Cuba’s history” or that it will “never” happen also emerged.
Another poll released this Wednesday suggests that a majority of Cubans support the U.S. capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro, following the military operation that concluded with his arrest on January 3.
In the survey conducted by CiberCuba News asking, “Do you support the capture of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces?”, 75% of the 1,000 respondents voted in favor of Maduro's capture, while 25% opposed the U.S. action.
Among the responses, Yoanys Sánchez González criticized the military action, stating: “I hope the No side prevails. Obviously, things taken by force are never good, and besides, the deaths of innocent people… I hope no one supports such barbarity.”
These discussions highlight the profound divisions within Cuban public opinion regarding foreign intervention in Venezuela, historically a key ally of Havana.
Some users view the capture of Maduro as justice against a regime allegedly linked to drug trafficking and repression, while others see the resort to military force as a violation of national sovereignty.
The U.S.-led operation to capture Maduro in Caracas has sparked mixed reactions across the region and globally.
While some political sectors in the United States have shown support for the action, others have warned of potential violations of international law and the risk of instability in Latin America.
Public Opinion on Cuban Regime and Maduro's Capture
Why do most Cubans believe the regime will fall in 2026?
The belief is influenced by recent events and regional dynamics, particularly the U.S. military actions against Nicolás Maduro, which have fostered a sense of impending change.
What are the main arguments against the capture of Nicolás Maduro?
Critics argue that military intervention violates the sovereignty of nations and can result in the loss of innocent lives, leading to instability in the region.
How has the capture of Maduro affected regional stability?
The operation has led to mixed reactions, with some viewing it as a necessary action against a repressive regime, while others fear it could destabilize Latin America and violate international norms.